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2024-12-14 07:41:45

The probability of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month doesn't seem to increase the strength of the US/Japan again. Justin Low, an analyst at Forexlive, a financial website, said that the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates this month was very low from the beginning, and earlier today, the ratio was about 30%. There has just been a sudden report that some policy makers of the Bank of Japan may support raising interest rates in December, but they also think it is unnecessary to rush because they think the cost of waiting for raising interest rates is "very small". After this news, the possibility of the Bank of Japan raising interest rates further dropped to about 23%. This, in turn, led to buying against the yen, while the yen fell. In the initial reaction, USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, but then rose to around 152.30.MERO, the Czech pipeline operator: The oil transportation to the Czech Republic through the "Friendship" pipeline continues to run as planned.Market news: Poland will promote common defense funds during its presidency of the European Union.


The minimum acceptable price of the two-year national debt issued by the Ministry of Finance in Hong Kong is 100.62 yuan. The minimum acceptable price of the five-year national debt issued by the Ministry of Finance in Hong Kong is 102.41 yuan.The Ministry of Finance successfully issued the sixth issue of RMB 6 billion treasury bonds in 2024 in Hong Kong. On December 11th, the Ministry of Finance of People's Republic of China (PRC) issued the sixth issue of RMB 6 billion treasury bonds in 2024 in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region for institutional investors, which was widely welcomed by investors, with a subscription multiple of 3.58 times. Among them, the two-year (additional issuance) is 2 billion yuan, and the issue price is 100.62 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.70%; 3-year (additional issuance) 2 billion yuan, the issue price is 101.28 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.70%; 5-year (additional issuance) 2 billion yuan, the issue price is 102.41 yuan, corresponding to the issue interest rate of 1.80%.In November, Sichuan CPI rose by 0.1% year-on-year, and the price increase of pork and fresh vegetables dropped from the previous month. On December 10, the data released by the Sichuan Survey Corps of the National Bureau of Statistics showed that the consumer price index (CPI) in Sichuan rose by 0.1% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by 0.1 percentage point from the previous month. It decreased by 0.7% from the previous month. From January to November, the consumer price of Sichuan residents decreased by 0.1% compared with the same period of last year. In terms of food, the price of food, tobacco and alcohol rose by 1.8% year-on-year in November, and the growth rate dropped by 1.1 percentage points from the previous month. Among them, the prices of pork and fresh vegetables increased by 15.2% and 14.0% year-on-year, respectively, and the growth rate dropped from last month; The price of fresh fruit changed from a year-on-year increase of 3.4% last month to an increase of 2.0%; The prices of eggs and aquatic products decreased by 1.6% and 0.6% respectively. From the ring comparison, the price of food, tobacco and alcohol decreased by 1.9% from 0.3% last month, mainly because the average temperature in November was higher than that in previous years, which was beneficial to the production, storage and transportation of agricultural products, and most fresh food prices were affected by the super-seasonal decline.


Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.Kremlin: Actions in the Golan Heights and the buffer zone are unlikely to help stabilize the situation in Syria.The public security organs cracked down on the illegal and criminal activities of the network water army according to law. The Ministry of Public Security attached great importance to cracking down on and rectifying the illegal and criminal activities of the "network water army". Relying on the special action of "Net Net 2024", it made an all-out attack, focusing on prominent illegal and criminal activities such as disinformation and drainage, public opinion extortion, brushing and evaluation, and paid deletion of posts, and deployed public security organs across the country to carry out the crackdown and rectification work. Since the beginning of this year, more than 900 cases have been detected, and more than 5,000 suspects have been arrested. Through phased strikes, the space for illegal and criminal activities of the "network water army" has been fully squeezed, and the network public order has been effectively maintained. Today, the Ministry of Public Security announced 10 typical cases of cracking down on "network water army" crimes according to law. (Guangming Daily)

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